Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.557823 1.775185 2.011672 2.288053 2.602203 2.948203 3.358252
2025-11-09 1.181123 1.467638 1.806744 2.237636 2.770697 3.408772 4.231107
2025-11-16 0.994573 1.312348 1.711055 2.247936 2.952244 3.845297 5.065012
2025-11-23 0.872557 1.209515 1.653016 2.279310 3.141372 4.287254 5.928456
2025-11-30 0.765084 1.106975 1.576076 2.266481 3.257304 4.629381 6.677327
2025-12-07 0.669976 1.007371 1.487897 2.221836 3.315309 4.886117 7.318990
2025-12-14 0.586898 0.914076 1.396230 2.158075 3.332654 5.077526 7.872897
2025-12-21 0.527256 0.848415 1.336899 2.133394 3.400942 5.343280 8.553885
2025-12-28 0.498758 0.827375 1.342168 2.206550 3.623415 5.858312 9.661857
2026-01-04 0.452353 0.772359 1.287865 2.177830 3.678041 6.110107 10.365070
2026-01-11 0.427965 0.750940 1.285158 2.231986 3.870854 6.597371 11.493595
2026-01-18 0.397470 0.715875 1.256009 2.237678 3.980377 6.952224 12.423722
2026-01-25 0.365167 0.677944 1.224325 2.246748 4.115882 7.396129 13.612707
2026-02-01 0.326510 0.625116 1.162495 2.198279 4.149056 7.673610 14.551955
2026-02-08 0.301070 0.593535 1.134969 2.208364 4.288023 8.150743 15.902097
2026-02-15 0.281207 0.570153 1.119773 2.239190 4.467617 8.717659 17.476919
2026-02-22 0.258330 0.538144 1.084495 2.226585 4.560367 9.126333 18.781913
2026-03-01 0.234568 0.501609 1.036373 2.182723 4.585155 9.402722 19.846770
2026-03-08 0.211539 0.463991 0.982076 2.120079 4.564108 9.583457 20.730028
2026-03-15 0.194635 0.437525 0.947938 2.095831 4.620127 9.925280 21.983811
2026-03-22 0.187850 0.432390 0.958140 2.167705 4.888972 10.736590 24.329387
2026-03-29 0.173246 0.408138 0.924579 2.139488 4.934539 11.072864 25.658132
2026-04-05 0.166282 0.400626 0.927134 2.192695 5.167846 11.840585 28.035665